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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$914K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
62 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
33%
5 more
$1.07M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
24%
chance
Yes
No
$291K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$104
46 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
73%
20-40
20%
3 more
$175K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
52 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$1.73M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
60 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
<100
85%
100-124
12%
3 more
$29K
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
41 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$44K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$81
49 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
96%
285M
80%
4 more
$3.4K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
44%
December
12%
5 more
$53K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$57
42 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
37-39
21%
34-36
21%
5 more
$1.1K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$119
36 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
220-229
28%
<220
28%
4 more
$1.1K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$88
38 trading now
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