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Prediction markets

15 active markets · category “Science”

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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

≤6
1%YesNo
7
4%YesNo
$16KVol. Jul 19science
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

1800+94%
2000+94%4 more
$19KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

0
67%YesNo
1
27%YesNo
$11KVol. Jul 19science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC65%
1.25–1.29ºC22%4 more
$18KVol. Aug 1science
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang98%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman98%9 more
$661KVol. Jul 30science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

425-450mm
425-450mm23%
500-525mm
500-525mm21%8 more
$9.0KVol. Jul 31science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest81%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest18%2 more
$57KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3150%
December 31
December 3150%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

5-6"
5-6"55%
2-3"
2-3"15%4 more
$2.9KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+97%
90-100mm2%6 more
$10KVol. Jul 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

10%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

5%

chance

YesNo
$119KVol. Mar 31science